Florida State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
92  Carmela Cardama Baez FR 20:00
161  Bridget Blake SO 20:12
222  Georgia Peel SR 20:24
253  Christine Griggs SR 20:28
910  Courteney West JR 21:28
1,052  Fatema Jaffer FR 21:38
1,068  Sarah Candiano FR 21:40
1,379  Katie Slater SO 22:02
1,754  Teresa Ristow SR 22:25
1,871  Bella Poole SO 22:33
1,907  Julia Corley JR 22:36
1,937  Tara Rooney SO 22:38
2,119  Jessica Lonas FR 22:52
2,303  Carly Thomas SR 23:07
2,407  Alexandra Midgett SR 23:16
2,416  Chelsea Jarvis SO 23:17
2,575  Haley Slocum JR 23:33
2,795  Anne Kennedy SO 24:03
National Rank #32 of 339
South Region Rank #5 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 12.1%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.5%


Regional Champion 0.5%
Top 5 in Regional 56.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Carmela Cardama Baez Bridget Blake Georgia Peel Christine Griggs Courteney West Fatema Jaffer Sarah Candiano Katie Slater Teresa Ristow Bella Poole Julia Corley
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown 09/25 681 20:12 20:04 20:02 20:48 21:02 21:40 22:27 21:56
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 745 20:05 20:12 20:27 20:35 21:38 21:54
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 1262 21:52 22:09 22:33 22:34 22:37
ACC Championships 10/30 699 19:47 20:18 20:37 20:19 21:40 21:18 21:42 22:19
South Region Championships 11/13 685 19:58 20:16 20:28 20:17 21:28 21:42 21:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 12.1% 23.0 556 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.2 169 0.5 2.7 8.9 19.1 25.4 24.3 12.7 4.9 1.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carmela Cardama Baez 44.1% 76.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2
Bridget Blake 20.3% 104.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Georgia Peel 13.2% 137.2 0.0
Christine Griggs 12.5% 150.8 0.0
Courteney West 12.1% 243.7
Fatema Jaffer 12.2% 248.1
Sarah Candiano 12.1% 248.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carmela Cardama Baez 9.0 1.0 2.8 4.6 5.9 7.0 7.0 7.7 7.6 6.2 6.6 5.4 5.0 5.2 4.4 3.7 3.0 2.6 2.6 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7
Bridget Blake 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.4 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.9 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.7 4.3 4.4 3.7 4.0 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.3
Georgia Peel 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.8 3.5 4.2 3.2 3.9 4.1 3.8
Christine Griggs 27.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.7 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.8
Courteney West 90.4
Fatema Jaffer 101.5
Sarah Candiano 103.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 1
2 2.7% 100.0% 2.7 2.7 2
3 8.9% 38.9% 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 5.5 3.5 3
4 19.1% 17.3% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.8 15.8 3.3 4
5 25.4% 6.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 23.9 1.6 5
6 24.3% 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 23.7 0.6 6
7 12.7% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 12.6 0.1 7
8 4.9% 4.9 8
9 1.3% 1.3 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 12.1% 0.5 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.8 87.9 3.1 9.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 2.0 0.1
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 2.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0